Guide

How to use PropEdge

A step-by-step walkthrough of every tool โ€” slate, analyzer, parlay builder, and bet tracker โ€” and how to use them together to find real edge.

01

Start with tonight's slate

Before you touch a prop, check who's actually playing. The Slate page covers NBA, NFL, and MLB with live injury data, back-to-back flags, and weather for outdoor stadiums.

  • ๐Ÿ”ดOUT badge โ€” skip their props entirely; look at teammates who absorb usage
  • ๐ŸŸกQ / DTD badge โ€” wait for pregame lineup confirmation before locking in
  • โšกB2B flag โ€” team played last night; watch for minute limits on key players
  • ๐ŸŒฌ๏ธWind / weather pill โ€” 18+ mph wind or rain tanks passing stats and totals for outdoor games

Click any player chip on the slate to jump straight to their prop analysis.

View Slate
MIN@OKC2 OUT1 Q๐ŸŒฌ๏ธ 18mph7:30 PM
S

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

PG

J

Jalen Williams

SG

L

Luguentz Dort

SF

OUT
C

Chet Holmgren

C

Q
02

Analyze the prop

Search any player across NBA, NFL, MLB, or NCAAF. Pick a stat and line to see how often they've hit it across four windows:

Last 5 games80% โ†’ strong signal
Last 10 games70% โ†’ solid trend
Last 20 games65% โ†’ consistent
Full season62% โ†’ baseline

Use the opponent filterto isolate stats against tonight's team specifically. A player might be 8/10 overall but 2/5 against this defense โ€” that changes everything.

The Trending Picks section shows what other users are analyzing right now โ€” useful for spotting which lines are getting sharp attention.

Open Analyzer

Player Prop

Anthony Edwards โ€” PTS

Line

27.5

Last 5
80%
Last 10
70%
Last 20
65%
Season
62%

Book odds

-115

Your edge

+EV +16.2%

03

Check situational splits

Raw hit rate is a starting point. The situational splits tell you when a player hits โ€” which matters much more for a specific game.

  • ๐Ÿ Home/Away split โ€” some players are dramatically better at home. A 75% home rate vs 45% away rate on a road game is a big red flag for your over.
  • ๐Ÿ˜ดRest day splits โ€” back-to-backs tank props hard. If a player hits 40% on B2Bs but 78% on 2+ days rest, and tonight is a B2B, fade the over.
  • ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธDefensive ranking โ€” see how every team ranks at defending your player's exact position for that stat. Rank 1 = gives up the most = softest matchup for your over.

These filters stack โ€” if the player is rested, at home, and facing a bottom-5 defense, that's three converging reasons to like the over.

Try It

Situational Splits

A. Edwards โ€” PTS o27.5

Home / Away

Home75%
Away55%

Rest Day Splits

40%

B2B

67%

1-day

78%

2+ days

Tonight's Matchup

OKC is the 2nd easiest matchup for your Over out of 30 teams โ€” allows 31.2 PTS/game to Guards vs league avg 28.4

04

Find the +EV edge

Once you have a hit rate, enter the book's American odds. We calculate whether there's a true mathematical edge.

Our implied odds (70% hit rate)-233
Book offering-115
Book implied probability53.5%
Edge+EV +16.2% per $100

Books price most props at ~53% juice (-115), so any time your historical hit rate is significantly above that implied %, history is on your side. Past results don't guarantee future onesโ€” but it's a real signal, not a guess.

Calculate EV
// Hit rate: 70% (L10)
// Implied odds: -233
// Book offering: -115
// Book implied: 53.5%
Edge = 70% - 53.5%
= +16.5% โ†’ +EV โœ“
05

Build a parlay with the slip

As you research, hit Add to Slip on each prop. The Parlay Builder on the right stacks them up in real time.

  • โ†’Combined probability = each leg's L10 hit rate multiplied together
  • โ†’Fair odds = what the parlay should pay based on true probability
  • โ†’Enter the book's parlay odds to see total EV on the full slip
  • โ†’Correlation warnings fire if you stack the same player or teammates from the same game

When you're happy with the slip, hit Track This Parlay to log it directly to your tracker โ€” odds pre-filled, legs pre-loaded.

Build a Parlay

Parlay Builder

3

A. Edwards

PTS o27.5

70%

SGA

PTS o30.5

80%

J. Embiid

REB o11.5

60%
Combined probability33.6%
Fair odds+198
Book offering+250
EV+EV +17.4%
06

Track your results

The Bet Tracker (free with an account) lets you log every pick โ€” singles and parlays โ€” and measure your actual edge over time.

  • โ†’Log from the analyzer with one click โ€” player, stat, line, and sport are pre-filled
  • โ†’Enter the book's odds and your stake to see a live payout preview before saving
  • โ†’Mark W / L / P after the game โ€” parlays auto-resolve when all legs are settled
  • โ†’Summary bar tracks your record, ROI %, units won/lost, and open bets

Most bettors don't know their actual win rate. Tracking it is what separates recreational from analytical betting.

Open Bet Tracker

My Bets

Record

7-3-0

ROI

+12.4%

Units

+3.8u

A. Edwards

Over 27.5 PTS

-115WIN+0.87u

SGA

Over 30.5 PTS

+110WIN+1.10u

J. Embiid

Over 11.5 REB

-120LOSS-1.00u

LeBron

Over 25.5 PTS

-110PENDINGโ€”

Pro tips

Things to keep in mind

Use Game Totals for context

Before betting player props, check if the game sets up as high or low scoring. A projected 240-point shootout changes your over thresholds vs a 210-point defensive battle.

Always check injuries before locking in

A star going out means more usage for teammates โ€” their over props get more valuable. Injury data refreshes live on the slate page.

Weight recent games more heavily

Last 5 is more predictive than season average after a role change, trade, or teammate injury. Look for the window where the trend is most consistent.

Don't ignore weather for outdoor games

Wind above 15 mph measurably reduces passing yards, receiving props, and scoring totals. It's flagged directly on the slate โ€” easy to miss, easy to fade.

Watch trending picks for line movement

When a lot of users are analyzing the same prop, it often means sharp money is moving. Check the Trending section on the analyzer before lines shift.

Track everything, even bad picks

Logging losses is how you spot patterns โ€” bad matchup filters, certain stat types you're wrong about, or specific teams you consistently misread.

Disclaimer: PropEdge shows historical data only. Hit rates reflect past performance and do not guarantee future results. Sports betting involves risk โ€” only bet what you can afford to lose. Verify all injury and lineup information with official sources before placing bets. This tool is for analytical and educational purposes only.